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EMBRACING THE UNFORESEEN explores the nature of faith, improvisation, and dialogue, showing how these seemingly disparate practices overlap, relate, and enhance each other. The author approaches the subject from a deeply human perspective, continually connecting theoretical concepts with real-life situations. An extensive list of study questions is provided to facilitate group discussions.

• Sales Rank: #2436394 in Books
• Published on: 2014-10-16
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.00" h x .44" w x 6.00" l, .59 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 176 pages

About the Author
DENNIS PLIES has been a professor of music at Warner Pacific College in Portland, Oregon, for more than thirty-five years. He has taught aural skills and piano, directed jazz ensembles, and taught a popular humanities course. He has had a lifelong interest in the art of teaching, and has performed regularly as a jazz artist, having written his doctoral dissertation on the pedagogy of jazz improvisation. Dr. Plies defines himself with six words: “friend, teacher, musician, writer, thinker, improviser.” He and his wife Barbara live in Portland near their four adult children.

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Well written. Artfully crafted. Thought provoking. Comes ...
By Craig Wright
Well written. Artfully crafted. Thought provoking. Comes with discussion questions to challenge the reader or to be used in a group setting. A challenge to live by faith, get out and improvise, and engage in productive dialogue. This book is written from a personal perspective, sharing the author's personal journey, that relates jazz to life, combining esthetics with reason and experience. Well worth the thought provoking read.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Straight forward, clear, and profound. There is ...
By David Terrell
Straight forward, clear, and profound. There is an intimate connection between improvisation, faith, and the unforeseen that Plies articulates and helps one to find it in our own lives.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Why Might You Want To Read This Book?
By Eric
Embracing The Unforeseen is an incredible book. I would recommend it to anyone interested from learning more about improv / dialogue / faith.

There is a healing wisdom to this book. It looks at life in a very healthy way.

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Have you ever experienced pain near your heart or unexplained pressure in your head? Like something was definitely interfering with your circulation yet neither doctor nor test revealed anything wrong so you were often diagnosed with psychosomatic illness and prescribed valium or pain pills to end your suffering? Well, this is just what I experienced over many years, and with each year, the pain escalated and compromised my quality of life to a point of frustration and tears. I am sharing my personal story about finding the right doctors to diagnose and cure my affliction that I was born with. My perseverance and faith in my knowledge of my own body has given me freedom and now hope to be able to help others who were born with a bridged artery in their hearts.

• Sales Rank: #3393927 in Books
• Published on: 2016-01-18
• Released on: 2016-01-18
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.00" h x .12" w x 6.00" l, .18 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 48 pages

About the Author
Patience is not a word that one would ever associate with Val Grant. Determined does not even come close. Strong-willed is much better but not perfect. This is her story of how her refusal to accept traditional medical practices enabled her to return to a normal life. Being an accomplished artist in several mediums, as well as her extensive travels, has enabled her to think outside the box in all facets of life. It is this ability that allowed her to persevere in her endeavor to save her own life.

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
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By Kindle Customer
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Bayesian inference has become a standard method of analysis in many fields of science. Students and researchers in experimental psychology and cognitive science, however, have failed to take full advantage of the new and exciting possibilities that the Bayesian approach affords. Ideal for teaching and self study, this book demonstrates how to do Bayesian modeling. Short, to-the-point chapters offer examples, exercises, and computer code (using WinBUGS or JAGS, and supported by Matlab and R), with additional support available online. No advance knowledge of statistics is required and, from the very start, readers are encouraged to apply and adjust Bayesian analyses by themselves. The book contains a series of chapters on parameter estimation and model selection, followed by detailed case studies from cognitive science. After working through this book, readers should be able to build their own Bayesian models, apply the models to their own data, and draw their own conclusions.

• Sales Rank: #169311 in Books
• Published on: 2014-04-14
• Released on: 2014-04-03
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.69" h x .59" w x 7.44" l, 1.20 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 280 pages

Review
"This book provides the best practical guide to date on how to do Bayesian modeling in cognitive science."
--Jay Myung, Professor of Psychology, Ohio State University


"This is a very powerful exposition of how Bayesian methods, and WinBUGS in particular, can be used to deal with cognitive models that are apparently intractable. When we produced WinBUGS, we had no idea it could be used like this - it's amazing and gratifying to see these applications."
--David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk, Statistical Laboratory, Centre for Mathematical Sciences, Cambridge

About the Author
Michael D. Lee is a professor in the Department of Cognitive Sciences at the University of California, Irvine.

Eric-Jan Wagenmakers is a professor in the Department of Psychological Methods at the University of Amsterdam.

Most helpful customer reviews

8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Bayesian statistics provide a much better way of fitting and testing models in many areas ...
By Antonio Rangel
Bayesian statistics provide a much better way of fitting and testing models in many areas of neuroscience, psychology, and economics. They are especially useful in settings in which there is a latent natural hierarchical structure and in which the models of interest are complex. If you are interested in learning how to use this methods in any of these areas, this book is as useful and as good as it gets. It will bring you up to speed on the key techniques and how to use them effectively. The fact that this version supports multiple statistical softwares, and not only R, is an added plus. Many people in my lab have used it successfully to learn hese methods.

Antonio Rangel
Caltech
www.rnl.caltech.edu

4 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
I think this well-written book is most useful for anyone who wants become acquainted with modern Bayesian ...
By Prof. Dr. Rolf Ulrich
I think this well-written book is most useful for anyone who wants become acquainted with modern Bayesian interference and in particular with WinBUGS and JAGS. I found this book especially relevant for experimental psychologists and cognitive scientists. It covers many practical problems including parameter estimation, statistical interference, and basic cognitive models (e.g., signal detection theory, multinomial processing trees, decision making). For each problem, the authors provide a computer code, which readers with little background in Matlab or R will appreciate. After working out some of these examples, it is easy to see how the general principle of this interference can be applied to other statistical problems and cognitive models.

1 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Do not buy the e-book, especially for classes
By Amazon Customer
This review is strictly for the e-book, as viewed on the kindle app for pc (this is the only option).

Pros:
- Cheaper than getting the real book

- Not as heavy as the real book

Cons:
- Absolutely non-intuitive formatting
- - The Kindle app is great for books where pictures and graphs don't exist. But they exist in this book
- - Namely, where the page is specifically formatted to portray an idea cohesively, it completely neglects this
- - - It was never designed to do this, but I felt it was worth noting as it made it extremely difficult to interpret

- Lack of page numbers
- - This was an assigned book for one of my classes. They assigned page numbers for reading. This was the biggest deal breaker

- Completely breaks convention
- - The largest similarity between this ebook and the real book is that it technically has the same content. The only other similarity is that there are words on pages. Nothing else is the same

My suggestion is to get this book through other means. Namely, getting the hardcopy. I will not condone pirating the pdf, but it would at least be the same as the book

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This text presents a sophisticated, systematic approach to completing hotel market studies, financial forecasts, investment analyses, and valuations. It examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the supply and demand for lodging facilities and introduces a six-step process to evaluate a hotel's profitability and value. Each step in the process is demonstrated with a case study.

• Sales Rank: #1678036 in Books
• Published on: 2001-12
• Ingredients: Example Ingredients
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.75" h x 7.00" w x 1.00" l,
• Binding: Paperback
• 370 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Important text--out of print.
By Amazon Customer
This is a definitive text on hotel/motel valuation. Its out of print, so you have to purchase it used.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By The red one
Great shape, good info.

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• Binding: Paperback

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